Newsec Property Outlook, Spring 2020

BACK TO THE FUTURE: WHAT'S NEXT FOR REAL ESTATE?

Real estate in the Nordics and Baltics has been booming, with record volumes being achieved in Sweden, as well as in the Nordics as a whole. In the past five years, transaction volumes of over EUR 40 billion have been achieved every year in the Nordics, and the average total return for real estate across the regions has been above 10 per cent in each of these years. At the same time, macroeconomic indications are weakening, and appear to indicate that things will get worse before they get better. Should we be worried about the future of real estate?

In this edition of the Newsec Property Outlook, Newsec makes use of our substantial expertise and experience of the real estate industry to map out the future for Nordic and Baltic property markets.

KEY INSIGHTS

  • In 2021, Newsec expects a new record transaction volume of EUR 50 billion in the Nordics – which will be the strongest volume in the next 5-year period
  • There has been an increase of almost 100 per cent in investment allocation to real estate among pension funds over the past 15 years, with an increase from an average of 5.8 per cent in 2005 to 10.9 per cent in 2019